{"id":68682,"date":"2024-11-19T10:12:27","date_gmt":"2024-11-19T18:12:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/?p=68682"},"modified":"2024-11-20T10:13:02","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T18:13:02","slug":"what-trumps-immigration-plans-mean-for-the-u-s","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/?p=68682","title":{"rendered":"What Trump\u2019s Immigration Plans Mean for the U.S."},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_author tdi_67 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 tdb-post-meta\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_67\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<div class=\"tdb-author-name-wrap\"><span class=\"tdb-author-by\">By<\/span><a class=\"tdb-author-name\" href=\"https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/author\/selen-ozturk\/\">Selen Ozturk<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_date tdi_68 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 tdb-post-meta\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_68\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><i class=\"tdb-date-icon tdc-font-fa tdc-font-fa-calendar\"><\/i><time class=\"entry-date updated td-module-date\" datetime=\"2024-11-19T09:00:00-08:00\">Nov 19, 2024<\/time><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_subtitle tdi_69 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_69\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<p>President-elect Donald Trump has promised to launch the largest deportation program in U.S. history.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_featured_image tdi_70 tdb-content-horiz-left td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_70\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"entry-thumb td-animation-stack-type0-2\" title=\"Screen Shot 2024-11-18 at 11.59.35 AM\" src=\"https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM.png\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2398px) 100vw, 2398px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM.png 2398w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-300x162.png 300w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-1024x553.png 1024w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-768x415.png 768w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-1536x830.png 1536w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-2048x1107.png 2048w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-150x81.png 150w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-696x376.png 696w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-1068x577.png 1068w, https:\/\/ethnicmediaservices.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/Screen-Shot-2024-11-18-at-11.59.35-AM-1920x1038.png 1920w\" alt=\"\" width=\"2398\" height=\"1296\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"td_block_wrap tdb_single_content tdi_71 td-pb-border-top td_block_template_1 td-post-content tagdiv-type\" data-td-block-uid=\"tdi_71\">\n<div class=\"tdb-block-inner td-fix-index\">\n<p>President-elect Donald Trump has promised to launch the largest deportation program in U.S. history.<\/p>\n<p>This was estimated by Vice President-elect JD Vance to involve one million removals yearly.<\/p>\n<p>Can the U.S. afford these policies? What do these crackdowns mean for undocumented and legal immigrants?<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mass deportation<\/h2>\n<p>Based on Census data surveys, there are an\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/cmsny.org\/us-undocumented-population-increased-in-july-2023-warren-090624\/\">estimated<\/a>\u00a011.7 million undocumented immigrants in the U.S. as of July 2023 \u2014 about 3.5% of the total population, and up 800,000 from the previous July.<\/p>\n<p>The all-time peak is 12 million immigrants, reached in 2008.<\/p>\n<p>The highest year of deportations from the U.S. interior is 238,000 immigrants, reached in 2009.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCurrently, most people we deport are already in detention. The government just picks them up \u2026 and figures out whether they\u2019re allowed to be here and how to get them back, and if the country will take them back,\u201d said Jeremy Robbins, executive director of the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org\/\">\u00a0American Immigration Council<\/a>, at a Friday, November 15 Ethnic Media Services briefing on Trump\u2019s promised immigration policies.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td-video-replacer\" data-id=\"undefined\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-embed\" data-video_id=\"MeOlKedC_7Q\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget2\" title=\"Trump May Attempt to Use Race, Religion or Country of Origin to Ban Categories of Immigrants\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MeOlKedC_7Q?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"392\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-11=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\n<em>Greg Chen, Senior Director of Government Relations for the American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA), explains the ways in which Trump may attempt to ban certain categories of immigrants, using illegal criteria such as race or religion.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u201cWith mass deportations, however, we\u2019re talking about finding people in their communities,\u201d he continued. \u201cThe two branches of the Department of Homeland Security that specifically do that do not have the capacity. It\u2019s extremely expensive \u2026 Nor do we have the detention capacity. You\u2019d need a whole new set of asylum facilities and judges before even getting people home.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Deporting all undocumented immigrants, which\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2024\/07\/22\/what-we-know-about-unauthorized-immigrants-living-in-the-us\/\">represent<\/a>\u00a0about 4.8% of the U.S. workforce as of 2022, would cost about $315 billion and have between a 4.2% and 6.8% negative impact on GDP, by conservative estimates.<\/p>\n<p>By comparison, the national GDP fell 4.3% during the Great Recession, from 2007 to 2009.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor most things Congress will fund, they\u2019ll need 60 votes. Budget reconciliation needs 50. It\u2019s far from clear they can fund these measures \u2026 but they can repurpose money from elsewhere,\u201d said Robbins. \u201cIt\u2019s possible to use forms like the military, but our resources are already strained.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The existing Department of Homeland Security (DHS) budget \u2014\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2024-03\/2024_0311_fy_2025_budget_in_brief.pdf\">$107.9 billion<\/a>\u00a0for fiscal year 2025 \u2014 exceeds all other federal law enforcement budgets combined.<\/p>\n<p>The current daily detention capacity is estimated around 50,000.<\/p>\n<p>Congress has provided approximately\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.house.gov\/billsthisweek\/20240318\/Division%20C%20Homeland.pdf\">$3.4 billion<\/a>\u00a0to detain a daily average of 41,500 noncitizens in 2024, of which\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/trac.syr.edu\/immigration\/quickfacts\/\">60.1%<\/a>\u00a0have no criminal record.<\/p>\n<p>For comparison, funds in 2023 were\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.appropriations.senate.gov\/imo\/media\/doc\/Division%20F%20-%20Homeland%20Statement%20FY23.pdf\">$2.9 billion<\/a>\u00a0to detain an average of 34,000 noncitizens daily.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td-video-replacer\" data-id=\"undefined\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-embed\" data-video_id=\"L96Q0CEWvf0\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget4\" title=\"Cooperation with ICE Varies Across Localities and Deportations Will \u2018Play Out Unevenly\u2019\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/L96Q0CEWvf0?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"392\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-11=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Julia Gelatt, Associate Director of our U.S. immigration policy program, Migration Policy Institute (MPI), says Trump\u2019s proposed deportation agenda will impact certain areas and workforces more heavily than others, depending on the jurisdiction\u2019s involvement with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Along with difficulties getting bipartisan Congressional support, \u201cBiden has already maximally deployed existing resources for enforcement,\u201d said Greg Chen, senior director of government relations at the American Immigration Lawyers Association<strong>.<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cThey don\u2019t have the resources to do much more \u2026 and contracting with private facilities, or training state and national guards, will mean more expensive delays.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>DHS\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/judiciary.house.gov\/sites\/evo-subsites\/republicans-judiciary.house.gov\/files\/evo-media-document\/2023-10-09-New-Data-and-Testimony.pdf\">data<\/a>\u00a0from 2023 shows that, in absolute terms, 3.5 times as many people were removed under Biden than under Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Of the 1.4 million arrests made in the 24 months of 2019 and 2020 under Trump, 47% were removed from the U.S.<\/p>\n<p>In the first 26.3 months under Biden, DHS made over 5 million arrests, of which 51% were removed.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Legal immigration<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cTrump has been talking so much about mass deportations that we rarely hear about impacts on the legal immigration system, meaning the hundreds of thousands of employment visas, family visas and humanitarian visas coming through every year,\u201d said Chen.<\/p>\n<p>Annual new legal permanent residents fell under Trump from 1,183,500 in 2016 to 707,400 in 2020, according to DHS\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ohss.dhs.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2024-09\/2024_0906_plcy_lawful_permanent_residents_fy2023.pdf\">data<\/a>; the numbers have shot back up since then to 1,173,000 in 2023.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td-video-replacer\" data-id=\"undefined\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-embed\" data-video_id=\"5LMQRJ76Lw0\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget6\" title=\"Ending Birthright Citizenship a \u2018Huge Aim\u2019 of the New Administration\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5LMQRJ76Lw0?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"392\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-11=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Jeremy Robbins, Executive Director, American Immigration Council, discusses Trump\u2019s proposal to end birthright citizenship and what it would take to implement it.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u201cDuring the first Trump administration, we saw retrogression \u2014 meaning it took much longer to process these cases,\u201d Chen continued. \u201cFor an employment or family visa that might typically take three to six months, we saw those times typically double.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He added that these backlogs are often created by understaffing departments and by Requests for Evidence, which are \u201cways of asking for more information on a case to ferret out fraud. But if used unnecessarily, it simply becomes red tape \u2026 and if immigration is unavailable to people who are trying to come here through legal means, we\u2019ll be seeing greater amounts of illegal migration.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Currently, immigrants arriving at official crossing points on the border can make an appointment through the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbp.gov\/about\/mobile-apps-directory\/cbpone\">CBP One<\/a>\u00a0app and wait months to be processed into the U.S. with temporary humanitarian parole.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPeople who try to enter between those points have a very hard time qualifying to begin the process towards asylum,\u201d said Julia Gelatt, associate director of the Migration Policy Institute\u2019s U.S. immigration policy program. \u201cUnder Trump, we can expect that the CPB One process at ports of entry will end, meaning that it will be very difficult for people coming to the border to access legal asylum proceedings,\u201d she continued.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cInstead, we\u2019ll likely see what we\u2019ve seen before: people paying smugglers to sneak them into the United States, rather than to the border, where many people now present themselves to border authorities to ask for protection,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td-video-replacer\" data-id=\"undefined\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-embed\" data-video_id=\"YIYNwJH4Hdo\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget8\" title=\"How Trump\u2019s Immigration Agenda Could Damage International Relations\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/YIYNwJH4Hdo?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"392\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-11=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><br \/>\nGreg Chen, Senior Director of Government Relations for the American Immigration Lawyers Association (AILA), discusses the ways in which Trump\u2019s immigration plan could damage diplomacy and international relations.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Trump has also suggested that he\u2019ll scale back the use of Temporary Status \u2014 which covers over one million immigrants, mostly Venezuelan, Haitian and Salvadoran \u2014 and eliminate Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA), on which about 580,000 immigrants rely.<\/p>\n<p>The Supreme Court\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.scotusblog.com\/case-files\/cases\/department-of-homeland-security-v-regents-of-the-university-of-california\/\">ruled<\/a>\u00a0in 2020 that the president can terminate DACA, a policy which gives some people who came to the U.S. illegally as children the right to study and work in the country.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost employers want to hire a legal workforce. If their workers lose authorizations like DACA and TPS, they\u2019ll have to let them go,\u201d said Gelatt. \u201cWe\u2019re an aging country \u2026 and when we lose immigrant workers, it doesn\u2019t necessarily create jobs for U.S. workers. If an employer loses the immigrant workers they rely on, they might contract out their operation or close up shop altogether. Immigrants and US workers are compliments in the labor force.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows that the unemployment rate for U.S.-born workers in 2023 was 3.6%, the lowest on record.<\/p>\n<p>That year, the share of employed prime-age (25 to 54) U.S.-born workers was 81.4%, the highest rate since 2001.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"td-video-replacer\" data-id=\"undefined\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"youtube-embed\" data-video_id=\"zEy09d-LeCY\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"widget10\" title=\"Trump\u2019s Mass Deportation Would Unravel the \u2018Threads of Our American Communities\u2019\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zEy09d-LeCY?feature=oembed&amp;enablejsapi=1\" width=\"100%\" height=\"392\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-gtm-yt-inspected-11=\"true\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Elizabeth Taufa, Policy Attorney &amp; Strategist, Immigrant Legal Resource Center (ILRC), discusses the impacts Trump\u2019s mass deportation plan will have on local communities.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>While mass crackdowns on these immigrants \u201cwill take more resources than the new administration will have, resulting in economic devastation across the country, they\u2019re still counting on instilling fear in communities,\u201d added Chen. \u201cWe have people with legal status calling our attorneys because they\u2019re afraid that they\u2019ll be rounded up because they\u2019ll be profiled. Those are legitimate concerns in this new environment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat does it look like when that intimidation campaign is working? It looks like kids not going to school because their parents fear being deported, shortages of health care workers because people move to safer states or are removed from the country, like shortages of teachers here on TPS and DACA,\u201d said Elizabeth Taufa, policy attorney at the Immigrant Legal Resource Center.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEven if they can\u2019t afford to enforce these policies, they\u2019re unraveling the threads of our American communities,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BySelen Ozturk Nov 19, 2024 President-elect&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-opinion","category-u-s-a"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=68682"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68682\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68683,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68682\/revisions\/68683"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=68682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=68682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lapost.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=68682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}