Cox’s Final Numbers Historically Underestimated by Traditional Polls Leading into Final Weeks of Election
“In the final weeks of the primary election, often conventional polls were wrong when it came to the final numbers for John Cox and he outperformed expectations,” Rosales said. “The best evidence that this race is closer than reported is the fact Gavin Newsom continues to attack John Cox at his campaign events and in the press. Comfortable candidates simply don’t attack their opponent. Gavin knows things have gotten worse on his 8 year watch and people are ready for change.”
In the LA Times/USC poll released three weeks prior to the primary election, it showed Antonio Villaraigosa in second place with 11 percent (he received 13.3 percent), and Cox in third place with 10 percent (he received 25.4 percent) showing the historic inaccuracy of this poll.
In contrast, a KFI/NBC 4 poll also released today shows Newsom at 50.7 percent and Cox at 43.3 percent and a internal poll conducted by the Cox campaign fielded last week also shows Newsom at 49.8 percent and Cox at 43.1 percent. What all surveys seem to agree on however, is that vote intensity remains strong amongst Cox voters.
Cox’s focus on affordability and helping Californians forgotten by Newsom and the Sacramento political class is resonating with voters across all political parties.
